Economy
Will Greece seasonally adjusted unemployment print below 9.5% for May 2026 in the July 1, 2026 ELSTAT release?
1 Jul 2026
Forecast YES
67%
Stable
Volume €77.8Liquidity €120Participants 0Quiet window
Trust layer
How this market is verified
Macro market on whether Greece seasonally adjusted unemployment moves below the 9.5% threshold in the May 2026 ELSTAT monthly labour force release.
Last market update30 May 2026, 11:23337h ago
Source packPrimary + fallback
Operator reviewReviewed
FreshnessReview before launch
Resolution pathPrimary source at close
Source packHierarchy and fallback evidence
Primary sourceELSTAT Labour Force Survey monthly estimates release for May 2026
Fallback sourceEurostat or TradingEconomics mirror only if it clearly reproduces the same final ELSTAT seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for May 2026
The primary source controls resolution unless it is unavailable or materially ambiguous.
Resolution rulesYES, NO, and VOID criteria
YESSettles YES if the named source confirms the stated outcome by the resolution window.
NOSettles NO if the stated outcome is not confirmed by the eligible source window.
VoidYES if the ELSTAT May 2026 monthly labour force release reports the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate strictly below 9.5%. NO if it is 9.5% or higher. Void if ELSTAT does not publish a comparable final seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for May 2026 in time for settlement.
Review statusTiming, status, and evidence trail
Trading closes1 Jul 2026, 08:55
Resolution target1 Jul 2026, 10:30
Market statusOpen for trading
Expected pathPrimary source at close