Politics
Greek election before 2027?
31 Dec 2026
Forecast YES
33%
Stable
Volume €80.9Liquidity €125Participants 0Quiet window
Trust layer
How this market is verified
Greek politics market on whether Greece will hold a national parliamentary election before January 1, 2027.
Last market update7 Jun 2026, 16:10140h ago
Source packPrimary + fallback
Operator reviewReviewed
FreshnessNeeds a light review
Resolution pathPrimary source at close
Source packHierarchy and fallback evidence
Primary sourceOfficial Greek Ministry of Interior national election results page, presidential dissolution decree, or other official state publication confirming that a parliamentary election was held before the deadline
Fallback sourceReuters, Associated Press, or other major Greek national media only if they clearly report that Greece held a national parliamentary election before the deadline and the report can be tied to official election administration
The primary source controls resolution unless it is unavailable or materially ambiguous.
Resolution rulesYES, NO, and VOID criteria
YESSettles YES if the named source confirms the stated outcome by the resolution window.
NOSettles NO if the stated outcome is not confirmed by the eligible source window.
VoidYES if Greece holds a national parliamentary election at any time before 2027-01-01 00:00 in Athens. NO if no such election is held before that deadline. Snap elections, early elections, and regularly scheduled national parliamentary elections all count. European Parliament elections, local elections, party leadership votes, cabinet reshuffles, confidence votes, or mere election announcements do not count. Void only if official public records are materially conflicting or unavailable after the resolution window.
Review statusTiming, status, and evidence trail
Trading closes31 Dec 2026, 21:59
Resolution target2 Jan 2027, 12:00
Market statusOpen for trading
Expected pathPrimary source at close