Politics
Will Antonis Samaras announce a new political party before June 30, 2026?
29 Jun 2026
Forecast YES
34%
Stable
Volume €77.8Liquidity €110Participants 0Quiet window
Trust layer
How this market is verified
Politics event market on whether former Greek prime minister Antonis Samaras publicly announces the formation or launch of a new political party before June 30, 2026.
Last market update2 Jun 2026, 10:11266h ago
Source packPrimary + fallback
Operator reviewReviewed
FreshnessReview before launch
Resolution pathPrimary source at close
Source packHierarchy and fallback evidence
Primary sourceOfficial public statement by Antonis Samaras, an official new-party channel, or formal party-registration record showing that Samaras announced a new political party before 2026-06-30 00:00 Europe/Athens
Fallback sourceANA-MPA, Reuters, Associated Press, eKathimerini, To Vima, Proto Thema, Skai, or another reputable Greek national outlet reporting a direct public announcement by Samaras or his official representatives
The primary source controls resolution unless it is unavailable or materially ambiguous.
Resolution rulesYES, NO, and VOID criteria
YESSettles YES if the named source confirms the stated outcome by the resolution window.
NOSettles NO if the stated outcome is not confirmed by the eligible source window.
VoidYES only if Antonis Samaras publicly announces the formation, name, or launch of a new political party before 2026-06-30 00:00 Europe/Athens. NO if there are only rumors, polling references, exploratory contacts, manifesto-style speeches, support for another party, or an announcement on/after June 30. Void only if public evidence is materially contradictory and cannot establish whether a qualifying announcement occurred before the deadline.
Review statusTiming, status, and evidence trail
Trading closes29 Jun 2026, 20:55
Resolution target30 Jun 2026, 09:00
Market statusOpen for trading
Expected pathPrimary source at close