Global
Will the U.S. and Iran announce a final agreement by...?
Independent YES/NO deadline rows for three checkpoints.
By Jun 30€84 Vol.
32%
By Jul 31€84 Vol.
36%
By Sep 30€70 Vol.
41%
Trust layer
How this grouped event is verified
Last event update13 Jun 2026, 13:05now
Source packPrimary + fallback
Operator reviewReviewed
FreshnessRecently checked
Resolution pathEach child resolves independently
Source packHierarchy and fallback evidence
Primary sourceOfficial public announcements from the U.S. government and/or the Iranian government explicitly stating that a final agreement has been reached and announced
Fallback sourceReuters or Associated Press only if they clearly report that a final agreement was officially announced by the parties before the relevant deadline
The same source hierarchy governs every child market inside this grouped event.
Resolution rulesIndependent child-market criteria
YesEach child market resolves independently. YES for a row only if the U.S. and Iran publicly announce a final agreement before that row's deadline. Preliminary understandings, resumed talks, interim arrangements, frameworks, draft texts, or vague progress statements do not count.
NoA child market settles NO if its named outcome is not confirmed by the eligible source window.
VoidVoid only if official public records about whether a final agreement was announced by the relevant deadline are materially conflicting or unavailable.
Review statusTiming, status, and child-market coverage
Trading closes30 Sept 2026, 23:59
Resolution target2 Oct 2026, 12:00
Event statusOpen for trading
Child markets3